Iowa, where we decide who you get to vote for:
Clinton is still above 50 per cent, though barely. Bernie, the cutie version of Eugene V. Debs, is second, about 20 points behind. The other are seesawing. Including Jim Webb at 1 per cent, which is a damned shame if you ask me.
Explanation: Clinton leads because -- no matter what the evidence of her lies, crimes or near-crimes, -- the unwashed left has but one answer: "Why are you picking on this poor woman?"* Bernie is doing pretty well because even here we have a mass which believes the fairies can go to Washington and bring us back a free lunch.
In the GOP, Trump still leads but may be fading. Walker and the traditional GOPers trail him. Rand Paul, the semi-libertarian, has faded to 5 per cent or less.
Explanation: Trump struts because the general electorate loves -- and often understands only -- trash talk. Paul is down for several reasons, among them the diseased liberty movement here. It stems from sleaze bags, at least one them indicted, who helped operate his dad's race four years ago. Another reason is the general media focus on the dramatic moments (Gore in!? More secrets on Hillary's server? Joe Biden surges!).
But, in all, both fields are so packed than no poll number makes much sense as a predictor. It is usually like that six months before the caucuses; the uncertainty is elevated by the population explosion of wannabes this time around.
They're almost all at the state fair this week. And if you hope that at least half of them chomp a fatally tainted corn dog, you are guilty of unChristian thought.
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*Credit for phrasing to BC.
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